Inventory, pending ratios, and price cuts reveal a market recalibrating fast—and creating new investor openings. The housing market downshifted decisively in 2025 as stubbornly high mortgage rates, tariff uncertainty, and a more laissez faire housing policy from Washington became part of the market milieu. This downshift manifested in more inventory for sale and slowing demand, [...]
Origination numbers are up even as loan amounts level off. Following a rate cut in December 2024, the Federal Reserve has maintained the same federal funds target rate for the first four consecutive FOMC meetings in 2025. They remained cautious due to inflation concerns and economic uncertainties. Volume and Growth Changes First-quarter 2025 saw a [...]
Underwriting corrections and stronger sponsor quality have fueled a sharp rebound in multifamily residential transition loans while other segments remain volatile. By Sam Kaddah, Liquid Logics, and Aleksandra Simanovsky, Adige Advisory In the historically opaque and fragmented world of residential transition loans (RTLs), standardized performance data has been difficult to come by. But thanks to [...]
Scrutinize the market’s big themes and dependencies to develop your game plan for the second half of 2025. So much can be said about the investment world and capital market volatility during the last 24 months. As we move further into 2025, some harsh realities about the investment world and capital market volatility are becoming [...]
Rising delinquencies, stricter lending conditions, and declining property valuations are reshaping the commercial real estate landscape. The commercial real estate (CRE) lending market, including both traditional and private lending sectors, is facing significant challenges in 2025. Delinquency rates have surged, rising from 0.77% to 1.18% year over year, marking a 53% increase. This translates into an [...]
The nation’s top ten private lenders originated nearly a quarter of all residential volume, even as the number of lenders grew 15 percent. Michael Fogliano and Sean Morgan, Forecasa Several key trends shaped the 2024 private lending market. Among these were shifts in origination volume, loan sizes, geographic distribution, lender competition, and product mix. This [...]
Foreclosure auction volume up from a year ago in 26 states VA foreclosure auction volume spikes 104% as VA foreclosure moratorium expires Auction buyers pull back on price they are willing to pay as economic volatility ramps up Foreclosure auction demand down from a year ago nationally and in 50% of markets Bid-ask spread narrows [...]
Bidding activity at foreclosure auctions provides early clues to 2025’s real estate market winners and losers. Bidding trends at foreclosure auctions in late 2024 indicate which local markets are likely to see gains or losses in retail home prices in 2025. “Higher home prices with an inevitable price drop coming in the near future,” speculated [...]
64% expect purchases to increase in 2025, up from 60% in 2024 and 54% in 2023 33% expect home price decline in 2025, down from 40% in 2024 43% describe market as overvalued, down from 49% in 2024 26% of auction buyers describe themselves as owner-occupants, up from 13% in 2024 Irvine, Calif. — April [...]
Driven by strong secondary market conditions, bridge and DSCR loan originations grew rapidly in 2024, setting the stage for continued momentum in 2025. During the last six years, Lightning Docs, a platform built for private lenders to generate their short-term (bridge, fix-and-flip, construction, etc.) and long term rental (DSCR) loan documents and the official loan [...]
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